关于人民币汇率问题的几点思考

人民币汇率不存在被严重低估的问题 ,升值没有客观必然性。目前人民币升值面临巨大压力 ,其主要原因在于我国不合理的外部均衡结构。人民币在未来也不会很快呈现出不断升值的变化趋势 ,中长期内的汇率变动趋势尚有待于观察 ,贬值压力同样不可低估。维持人民币汇率较长时期的稳定 ,延缓升值进程的发生 ,具有非常重要的战略意义     

Improving the contributions of technology assessment to the health care system of the U.S.A.

Summary Based on 14 case studies of highly effective therapies and the reasons they succeeded less frequently than they could, we propose a variety of steps to improve the health care system of the U.S.A. Whatever proposal emerges from current national debates until innovations are shown to be safe and effective, they should not be supported; when slightly better technologies are much more expensive than other good ones we need to consider appropriate choices carefully; simplified billing and bookkeping would reduce our costs; when a technology is rapidly introduced cautionnary measures may be needed; tracking immunization and repairing their omissions requires a new system; educational programs such as seen effective in hypertension should be applied in other areas such as vaccination; in organ transplantation the nation should consider “presumed consent”; our payment system sometimes creates perverse incentives and therefore needs review; and the preferences of the public in allocation of health resources need to be discovered once the public is informed about the issues. Research supported by Andrew W. Mellon Foundation.     

中国移民政策与亚洲银行移民政策的比较研究

从移民的基本政策、移民安置规划、公众参与、移民的组织机构及责任四个方面 ,对中国移民政策与亚洲银行移民政策进行了对比分析 ,找出之区别 ,以便更好地与国际接轨     

邓小平青年思想政治教育内容初探

论述了邓小平青年思想政治教育的主要内容 ,主要是对青年进行共产主义理想信念教育、四项基本原则教育、爱国主义教育、集体主义教育、社会主义教育、历史教育、民主教育、法纪教育、优良传统教育     

试析一战初期英国的中东政策——基于《德邦森报告书》的考察

一战期间,英国发表了《德邦森报告书》,对中东形势和英国的对策作出了具体的分析。报告书一方面秉承英国的传统政策,主张保存土耳其,另一方面又具体划分了列强在中东的利益范围,客观上为日后列强瓜分土耳其扫除了障碍。     

石油石化企业人力资源政策探讨

本文对石油石化企业重组上市后人力资源政策进行了探讨 ,并提出了贯彻实施这些政策应采取的措施     

Optimal lot sizing under continuous price decrease

An important characteristic of high-tech industries is decreasing component prices over time. In the personal computer industry, some component prices decline at a rate of 1% per week. This paper develops an inventory model for products experiencing continuous decrease in unit price. We develop an accurate closed-form approximate solution to the model. Our results indicate that declining prices lead to substantial decrease in the optimal cycle time and much frequent ordering. This explains the heavy emphasis on just-in-time inventory management practiced by successful companies in high-tech industries. While previous models attributed the success of just-in-time policies to reduced holding cost and improved quality, under declining prices a substantial source of savings becomes lower costs of raw materials which is significant part of cost in these industries. We illustrate the results of the model with a numerical example and perform sensitivity analysis.     

公共决策的民主化与执政能力的提高

执政党的主要行为表现为制定政策,而连接政党和群众的一个重要纽带就是公共政策。可以说,政党执政能力的高低,在某种程度上取决于政策制定的好坏。民主化作为一个国家和民族政治文明程度的重要标尺,政策的民主化对于执政党显得尤为重要,本文从公共决策民主化的角度来探讨对于政党执政能力提高的重要意义。     

农民工市民化政策博弈分析

农民工市民化不仅能加快城镇化进程,而且能有效地解决我国“三农”问题。当前,这一政策的实施遇到了一定困难。首先以政府和农民工为对策主体,建立了完全理性和有限理性的静态与动态几种博弈模型;分析了在一定政策环境下,政策和农民工之间的对策,并提出了农民工转化为市民的若干政策建议。在此基础上,将其收益矩阵进行了一般处理,使其结论更具普遍性。博弈分析结果表明现阶段政府不宜采用大规模转化农民工为市民的政策。     

股票股利变化市场反应的实证研究

对公司分配方案中股票股利发生变化时股票收益率的研究,显示证券市场对股票股利分配方案发生变化时有一定反应,但与国外成熟资本市场的反应并不一致,说明我国证券市场距离国外成熟资本市场还有一定差距,证券市场信息披露制度尚不规范。